It's time for our last monthly mailbag in 2021. We have received a lot of good questions, I will answer some of them today, and some on Monday. Edited the length, style and clarity of the question.
Q: Do you think that after the new collective bargaining agreement is signed, the Orioles will still be number one when the draft starts next summer? From: GR via email
A: GR, I guess in the new collective bargaining agreement, the team with the worst record will no longer guarantee the first pick. The owner proposed a lottery scheme for the top three picks, and the players prefer a formula based on win/loss records and market size. Teams like the Orioles that benefit from revenue sharing, if their score is higher than 0.500 or enter the playoffs, they will get additional picks. In the union's proposal, the team cannot enter the top five for several consecutive years.
Obviously there will be changes. The question is whether it will take effect in the upcoming draft where the Orioles will have the best choice, or in 2023. I think there will be a 50-50 change in 2022.
Question: Who do you think is the target of the Orioles in the draft? I heard that Brooks Lee (Cal-Poly) has gained some attention as a possible Orioles target. I mean, after all, this kid is named after Brooks Robinson. From: Kevin Aspelmeier via Facebook
Answer: Kevin, I received a similar question from Adam Saft via email and @OrioleMax_5
According to various mock drafts, some of the players who can be considered as the No. 1 pick are shortstop Lee. High school outfielder Elijah Green; Texas Tech infielder Jace Jung; Vanderbilt infielder Carter Young; Louisiana State University infielder Jacob Berry; high school outfielder Andrew Jones; high school Pitchers Dylan Lesko and Jackson Ferris.
In his three drafts, Mike Elias selected a college receiver Adley Rutschman and two college outfielders Heston Kjerstad and Colton Cowser with the first overall pick, so I guess he would choose another college. Position player.
Q: Will the Orioles resume physical tickets in 2022? I hope so. I don't like e-tickets. Physical tickets are easier to handle. From: OrangeDNA via BaltimoreBaseball.com Comments
A: I know that many fans like hard tickets. They like to collect or keep them to commemorate special games, but I think they are a thing of the past. E-tickets are easier to sell on the secondary market, where OrangeDNA sells a lot.
Q: Do you know who the Orioles will choose when Major League Rule 5 happens? From: Bman via BaltimoreBaseball.com Comments
Answer: If the Orioles are looking for a receiver in the Rule 5 draft, the potential player of Tampa Bay, Black Hunter, will not be protected. If they prefer pitchers, some interesting names might be Oakland right-hander Brady Feigl, Nationals left-hander Tim Cate, Pittsburgh right-hander Tahnaj Thomas, Colorado right-hander Tommy Doyle; and San Francisco left-hander Seth Corey.
Question: What is the attraction of playing in Japan to foreign players? Is it for cultural experience? Is it more popular with older players who are not ready to give up the spotlight but are satisfied with less compensation? What is the biggest obvious difference between playing MLB and NPB games? What do the American players over there think? From: Icterus Fan via email
A: Marty, both you and Will Miranda have questions about foreigners playing in Japan.
Traditionally, Japan is more popular with senior players in the major leagues, and for Adam Jones, a player who likes to travel and experience a different lifestyle, this may be a fulfilling way to end a productive career.
Increasingly, Japan and South Korea are destinations for players who encounter difficulties in the majors. Staying in Japan for a year or two can make players more marketable in the United States. Take the St. Louis Cardinals right shooter Miles Mikolaas as an example. He spent several years in San Diego and Texas organizations trying to establish his position. From 2015 to 2017, he traveled to Japan, where he achieved an outstanding record, then signed a two-year contract with the Cardinals. , A contract worth $15.5 million, and then signed a four-year, $68 million renewal contract with St. Louis.
In the late 1980s, I watched two Japanese games at Tokyo Dome. The style of watching the games was not fun. There are many games in a game. At that time, pitching was more clever than power. I noticed that all public radio announcers in Japan are women. There were six referees instead of four, and there were protective nets on the free throw lines in the years before the US mandate. There are many organized cheers.
Question: Is Isaiah Kearns still in the organization? He is a pitcher and signed as an undrafted free agent after the shortened 2020 draft. Why has he been on the restricted list for the past two seasons instead of pitching? From: @Eastern_Av
Answer: Carnes decided not to play professional baseball and was included in the restricted list. Unless compensation is arranged, he cannot play for a team other than the Orioles.
Q: Why did the Orioles become the most hated tank team? They did not invent it. Many other teams lack farm system talent and are also terrible. I am confused why they follow Orioles from: @MDSportsChat
Answer: I'm not sure if I agree with your definition of Orioles being hated because of the so-called "tank". Across the country, I think they are ignored rather than hated. Fans and baseball observers belittle this idea, but there is one way to stop chatter, and that is to win more games.
I do think that the Orioles provided useful ammunition for the Players Association in the negotiations with the owners, and no one thinks that if a team loses more than 100 games in the last three full seasons, this is a good match for baseball. benefit.
Question: In the next few years after the international contract period, have you heard of any names that need attention? I'm curious about Koby Perez's performance so far. From: @Briski715
A: Brian, Kobe Perez (in charge of international scouts) and the Orioles have received high scores because they basically started international projects from scratch. The next signing period will start on January 15, and it will be interesting to see if the Orioles can sign more well-known international players. According to MLB.com, the Orioles may sign Dominican outfielder Brelin Tavira and Dominican shortstop Leandro Arias.
Since they have to sign 16- and 17-year-old players, this is a long process, and it may take at least five years to properly measure their performance.
Note: Rich Lewis, a right-handed pitcher who started and ended his career with the Orioles, died on Wednesday at the age of 55. Lewis started twice in 1992 and cast two games in 1998. Lewis also pitched for the Marlins, the Red Army, the track team and the Tigers.
Rich and interesting question #1 (lottery formula). Think that the first place was "obtained" before the collective agreement (retroactive), but you gave it 50/50.
Al, that's because I'm not sure when any changes will take effect.
Rich, I like this website and the work you do, but I think you are wrong. @MDSportsChat was right when he wrote that the Orioles were regarded as the most annoying tank team. Last season, ESPN’s Buster Olney and the squeaky Kurk Gian, the track team’s Ken Rosenthal, Jason Stark and Dan Connolly, as well as the Washington Post and the Baltimore Suns The writers of the newspaper all took off in Baltimore and its failure. No one pointed out that the Orioles are the best department in baseball. No one pointed out that the team is being rebuilt. No one pointed out that the Orioles were battered by Chris Davis’s contract and his lack of effort in returning to the game (remember the words of the Orioles batting coach quoted by Jim Palmer, he Did not work with Davis, because Davis never asked for help). No one pointed out which players the Orioles can invest in through free agents, and these players will even change in terms of their 2021 victory. No one pointed out that Arizona has the same record as Baltimore.
Patrick, thank you for sharing your thoughts.
The Orioles can only be responsible for Davis, so money is knocking on the door. Many teams are rebuilding, but this version is a continuous dismantling and there is no end in sight. I think everyone is waiting for the "build" part, excluding exemption declarations and minor league signings as a "build". Arizona has not lost 100+ in three of the past four seasons, so this is not the best comparison. For decades, the Orioles have lacked respect. The team’s knack for being different in order to be different has finally led the impartial observer astray. The biggest example may have been corrected, although I have not seen any high-end international prospects (such as Louis Roberts) appear in this way.
Yes, Davis can pull very fast on PA. Players are not responsible for their own results. It is always the fault of management.
The most recent story is that Buck approves of the deal. He is of course Davis Jr., which is different from the Buck's version of the socks of the player (Arizona) who criticized him in the past.
It would be great if he went to the Tigers! Mike Illitch wants him very much!
So intellectuals criticized Baltimore for not signing more free agents, and did not solve the problem of deceiving the team by signing a large $$$ free agent. Do you think this is okay? If the players-as well as you and Kurkjan, Rosenthal and...-want the team to sign players more frequently and at higher prices, why not guarantee contracts? In this way, the player can make money from what he has done recently. And I don’t know what the last part you wrote ("...the trick of the team...come here") or even what it meant.
Completely agree with your point of view. You stated all the facts, and I applaud you for saying so much! ! !
But based on other people's views/comments about Buck Showalter about Chris Davis, I say the following are some quotes from Buck Showalt. Some players don't care about "earning" their salary after signing a big deal. Some players will feel mentally disappointed or relieved after they become useless in the first or second year of signing a new contract. Some players let the contract come to their minds, try to fulfill the contract, and may never do so. No matter the players union always tells the players to get as much as possible, no matter who hurts-the team and the fans don't look back! ! ! This is the game I hate the most today! ! ! Because the players think that if they don’t have it, the owner won’t be able to pay for it, but it doesn’t just come from the owner, it really comes from the fans who support their team, and they pay to watch their team on cable TV or in Baseball field. Therefore, when the player's salary increases, the cost of the fans will also increase. So the players union is really talking about screwing up the fans and getting everything you can get. This is why I support the owners. By the way, the owner of a baseball team did not become a millionaire or in some cases a billionaire because of owning a baseball team. They even own a ball from an external company they own, support, or work for. The team has done it before. So next time you see Derek Jett on the other side of the player, now part of the owner of the Marlins, ask him why his team did not pay the same salary as the team he played for, and "He" I will tell you that they can't afford... anyway, I think the third contract applies to CDs. It just swallowed him in his own mind, and Buck Showalter seemed to agree (see below). So, As far as Buck was the culprit in the deal that bought him and/or then resigned him, this is nonsense. It was all done by Peter Angelos. Not that it was all bad , Because it is definitely not the case. So first of all, because of the time and amount of money spent, Scott Boras only deals with the ownership of his deals/negotiations with star players. I remember Buck told the media in these negotiations after the end of the season, And said the same thing to Chris during the last few days of the current contract during BP... [Buck talks with CD about resignation and the amount of resignation] "During BP, I was talking to him. He said, "What do you think?" He once asked. I would say, "Well, Chris, how much is enough?" I said, "How much is enough?" ... He was not free to play at the time. he knows. But how many of us will stay away from it? Put yourself in his shoes. Chris put it on his sleeve. It swallowed him and was unable to statistically return the content stipulated in the contract. Let's face it, the Orioles paid him for what he did in the past and hopes to do in the future. Mr. Angelos has a real commitment to the city, trying to bring Chris back. This is something behind the scenes. Before it actually happened, I didn't know anything about it. [Barker Trading CD] "I clearly remember that Peter Angelos just didn't want to trade without Chris Davis. He just thinks he suits us well. Thankfully, he did it. [On the CD, Buck talks about his unwillingness to adjust and whether he is fair to criticism] "What's fair?" Many people are weighing things they don't really understand. I don't talk to the pilot about how to land the plane. I will not tell the surgeon how to do heart surgery. But at the same time, I saw Chris trying to make adjustments. There was no one on the court at 2 o'clock. I remember him doing various things with [former Orioles batting coach] Jim Presley and Scott Coolbaugh. When you do things in a certain way with such great success, a huge change-what do you want to do, choke and start hitting the ball in another way? Chris' contact injury rate is outside the range of the chart. "In addition, I think that when the Orioles have all the other star players by his side, especially when I spot Mark Reynolds, attention will be taken away from him so that he can relax and continue the game. Mark Reynolds I am a very personal person, always smiling, and there seems to be an important tendency to let others relax and not take myself too seriously. Plus IMO, for some players, when there is something in their lineup When there are many people who can produce other than yourself, their performance/match is much easier. Although as Buck said, before his huge contract, his salary is still very high!!!
By the way, this interview was conducted by Luke Jackson with Buck Showalt on August 17, 2021.
PS: I always tend to deliberately typo in my comments, just to see if certain commenters have read my entire article! Let's see if "they" can find anything in the Easter egg event. Whee.
After reading it yesterday, I finished it today. "Their" should be "there". So there!
Pretty good Jersey! In addition, "No matter the players union always tells the players to get as much as possible, no matter who hurts-the team and the fans don't look back!!!"-The players union should be the players union. Final grade-C.
Mario Mendoza would be a better batting coach than Kurbo!
O's #1, you made a lot of points that I think have been good since the season after CD's first contract. Yes, he has legal injuries, but this is not the reason for his failure. That is 100#, not 99, 100%, because he put too much pressure on himself, unable to achieve expectations. As for your support for the owners, I have to admit that I personally did 180 on this issue, and now I am also on the side of the owners. I always say that no one will go to see the owner, but seeing that any player is completely lacking in loyalty, with a few exceptions, now makes me stand on the side of the boss. I know that people can say that the boss is not loyal and that the players have a short career. I understand this, but in my opinion, today's players don't actually care about the game and the fans as they did in the past. Maybe I'm just getting old and miss the days when Team O used almost the same lineup for multiple seasons. You just never see those days again.
Luke Jackson made a lot of good points... Come on...
I don't think the lottery will really do anything to prevent getting into trouble. If you look at the NBA, there are many lottery teams. The 76ers have been doing this for many years, but still get good players from it. The one change I hope to make to the draft is the trade of draft picks. I know you can trade competitively balanced options. If allowed, for a team like the Orioles, this year seems to be the perfect year for trading. There is no dunk player right now. If this continues, why not trade back and accumulate more picks like a football team.
I agree with you on the lottery, but in the NBA you can get immediate help from the draft, but in baseball, the rewards are even further. I can see the boss sell the lottery as a TV show, just like the NBA. I just want a better system than ours, Orioles20.
I agree #20...The lottery will not be as effective in baseball as it is in basketball. Is there really that big difference between choice #1 and choice #6 or 7 in each round? I would love to see the number one draft pick in the past 20 years compared with #6?
This sounds like Hummer/Pyjama Boy/Whydoeshebother's work?
Ken, this is the best No. 1 draft pick since 2001: Joe Moore, Justin Upton, David Price, Stephen Strasbourg, Bryce Harper, Gerry Te Cole, Carlos Correa and Dansby Swanson.
The best No. 6 rookies are Zach Greyink, Andrew Miller, Zach Wheeler and Anthony Rendon.
Yes, there is a big difference.
Rich, first of all, thank you for your research. I am grateful, but I think you misread...or my statement is not clear enough...my statement.
I thought more about the difference between the #1 and 6/7 picks of each (and I did illustrate "every round) draft round. It's not just the first round. Round 1 to 20. 30 rounds or how many rounds in these years. The big picture... Also known as the entire draft. In general, I think the positioning of each lower round, 1-7, in general, will not be different.
Why can the Socks, Yankees and Dodgers find very, very good players without the overall pick? I think this is because they invested more money in the scouting department and found these gems in rounds 2, 3, 4, 5 or lower. Rutchsman is effortless. But I would rather find 3 or 5 reliable major league players every year than to find a superstar every 3, right?
Now let’s take a look at what you just responded to. I am not so moved. You gave me 8 names that ranked first in the past 20 years? What happened to the other 12 people? You listed 8 out of 20 stars/studs...not exactly cash in the bank, is it? Oops... I would even throw Swanson out because he is not a perennial All-Star or anything. So, let's have 7 out of 20 people, and you have 33% of your gold selected as number one. The NBA is not exactly the same. The odds are good, but it doesn't mean you will get a slam dunk superstar every year.
The baseball draft, or even the top end of the draft, can be nonsense, right? ?
SB, you're right, the baseball draft is ultimately nonsense—probably more so than other major sports. This reality doubts the optimist's argument that our general manager will use his so-called magic within a few years and select the Orioles into a competitive team.
Although #1's draft pick is excellent, #6's draft pick is by no means frosted.
Ken, I did not include the past five or six years because they have not established their status. So it is 7 out of 14 or 15, so there is a 50% chance, which is pretty good.
You are right, reconnaissance is very important. Interestingly, some of the best Orioles currently: Mancini (8), Means (11) and Mullins (14) were selected in the lower rounds.
Thanks Rich... it sounds better.
Most of the time, luck plays a bigger role than any scouting department, especially in the next few rounds. Sometimes I would rather be lucky than good.
So, what does Shambles + Bile mean, uh, Boog? Mess. I know I will not bring anything here, but somehow it is not "you".
You are very close... Shambles + Bile equals = Boog! But don't worry, there is no Boog without bile! ! ! So you need too! ! ! Suffering needs his company! ! ! Ha ha
I know you are but what am I?
It’s great to see you call yourself your true self – Sham_Biles. it's time! ! ! No more lying and stealing the names of John Burg Powell, Brooks and Frank Robinson! ! ! I am proud of you! ! ! Ha ha
Tee hee...go on...
Tee hee... Easter egg... Tee hee.
Rich, agree that the system needs to be changed, but the lottery can't really solve it. I will change revenue sharing. The salary threshold of the active list, and the recommended salary are not counted. For every 10% below the wage threshold, the income share will decrease by 15%. Wages are 20% below the threshold and the income share is reduced by 30%. As with all CBAs, there are other projects that will reflect the trade-offs between the parties.
Phil, I'll send you to the negotiating table.
I think you have an interesting idea, and I hope there will be real changes when this matter is resolved.
I know I have mentioned tanks before, but I think the last finisher in each division should give up the first round. This will reduce the motivation to lose and create some competition at the bottom of the standings. Since it applies to all sectors, being in a "strong" or "weak" sector will not be so important.
I like this idea... I like it very much!
I'm sorry, but I despise the idea of punishing the team that has finished. First, it must be proven that they did this deliberately, and secondly, some teams did only practice under bad conditions. Maybe it is the top 5 lottery. A recent article by Jayson Stark suggested changing the order of the drafts. It sounds like they are desperate for The Athletic. When the Red Sox, Yankees, and Dodgers start drafts before they are suspected of defeating the real solution. Keep draft orders unchanged, but implement a minimum wage cap.
I think a more basic question is why in a competitive effort, the team should be rewarded for incompetence. The draft is not a charity plan to help those who are unlucky. The total losses of the bottom six teams in 2021 are 89, 97, 101, 102, 110 and 110 respectively. Only 89 outliers have been lost. Only one team in the division where the team is located has a record of more than 0.500. The purpose of the draft is not to help individual losing teams, but to help the entire league by distributing talents in a way that promotes competition. This is exactly what the league sells as entertainment. In addition, it allows underperforming franchises to buy popular new players — or at least names — to attract fans to their seats and return home and away teams. Consider the O team: No matter how bad they are next year, Rutschman will sell tickets, partly because of the publicity that he was the number one pick. Having stars is important for entertainment, so it is a good idea to have one or two for a dull team. I really don’t think that bad records are intentional, reprehensible, or unintentional and pathetic. It doesn’t matter. My advice is to promote competition among the "poor people" while telling them that their complacency is unacceptable.
What attraction does playing in Japan have to foreign baseball players? The short answer is "money." Who doesn't want to get a high salary for having the opportunity to continue playing the game you like to play?
100% on site...go on...
Well, obviously compensation is always an important consideration. Here, the rules of greed, so the more dollars, the "better". My question is more about why players would go elsewhere to play for less money. If you can stay in Japan and earn a higher income at home, why go to Japan? Now, as Rich pointed out, I understand that if players can successfully play in the NPB, then they are likely to get a more profitable contract in the MLB.
Ict, I dare say you will find very, very few players-if any-they choose Japan and cut their salaries from the money they could have made while playing in the United States. Invariably, relatively few people go there to be older or marginal players who are more attractive to the Japanese team. In addition to travel phobia, Japan’s well-funded major leagues must be a better and more profitable option, not be ashamed by getting a minimum MLB salary, quitting baseball, or working on minors.
Yes, I can't see this happening either. This is the crux of my question. Why would a player go there instead of a player with reduced skills, or they were just a medium talent with no resources in the beginning. If they are talented and motivated, it seems that they should stay here, improve their skills, and keep trying because of the possibility of success and high net worth. But I don’t know what I’m talking about, that’s why I asked this question in the first place.
Playing AAA is basically well paid!
Among the players listed that can be considered the first choice is Andrew Jones. It did not say Jr. I want to know if this is the son of Andruw Jones, who was the centerpiece of many great Warriors in the past? Out of curiosity, has that Andrew Jones ever been considered for entry into the Hall of Fame? If Andrew Jones mentioned as a draft pick is actually the son of Warriors Andrew Jones, then I would like to see O choose him and hope that Apple will not be too far away from the tree. There are never too many good outfielders.
Yes, it is his son.
But there are too many bad guys...
Scott Moore and Lou Montanez are the first overall picks. The draft is too bad!
Check out all the comments about the tank and how to fix it. I want to know where all the more talented players are? Those players who hire tankers make more money, will they win more games? The answer is that there are not enough major league talents to move around, especially if there is no salary cap. Arbitration is severely damaged, so the motivation is to become younger and cheaper. Long-term, guaranteed contracts are also a burden of competition.
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It's time for our last monthly mailbag in 2021. We received many good questions,...
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